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A murder case in my new village. I doubt crime index tells the real story!

No murder case in my new village for past 20 year until this year where a 60-old man was beaten to death by four Malay [may be Indonesians) suspects when he was jogging at the new village in the early morning.

I lodged a police report when some clothings hanging outside my village’s house were stolen in order to make crime index higher. The Vietnamese workers staying nearby are main culprit because someone spotted they walked suspiciously at the back alley.

My neighbor refused to make police report for such a petty case.

Cause 1: 10% drop could be due to statistical fluctuation within the control limit, such up and down movement is meaningless in statistics.

Cause 2: People are reluctant to make police report may be another possible cause for lower reported crime case.

I tend to believe cause number one is the reason the crime index dropped by 10%.

I found out later that Ex-IGP, Musa Hasan was consented with my observation. 🙂

Ex-IGP says crime on the rise, refutes official statistics

By Amin Iskandar

KUALA LUMPUR, July 13 — Former Inspector-General of Police Tan Sri Musa Hassan has accused the authorities of hiding facts from the public over the country’s crime rate, claiming that public security has now reached a “worrying stage”.

In an interview with The Malaysian Insider, Musa told the government that there was no need to mask crime figures, pointing out that if crime was not on the rise, top-ranking officials and ministers would not need to hire bodyguards.

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/ex-igp-says-crime-on-the-rise-refutes-official-statistics/

PEMANDU: Crime dropped 10.1pc from January to May

By Clara Chooi

Teh briefs reporters on the government’s efforts to combat crime, at its office in KL Sentral on July 12, 2012. — Picture by Saw Siow Feng
KUALA LUMPUR, July 12 — PEMANDU sought today to allay rising fears over the recent spate of violent crime cases, releasing fresh statistics that show the country’s index crime dipped by 10.1 per cent from January to May this year.

Pointing out that figures negate the current perception on crime, PEMANDU “Reducing Crime NKRA” director Eugene Teh appealed to the public to be “fair” to the police force and give its officers due recognition for their efforts.

“At the end of the day, the police are also humans. To be honest with you, they have been subjected to a lot of stress, whether from the ministry, the prime minister or the press.

“So if you recognise the effort, why not give them due recognition?” he told a media briefing here.

He said the country’s 115,000 police personnel were Malaysia’s “only option” to reduce crime in the country.

“At the end of the day, we are the beneficiaries,” he pointed out.

According to figures released today, index crime dropped 10.1 per cent to 63,221 cases between January and May this year from the 70,343 cases recorded in the corresponding period last year.

Street crimes dropped 43 per cent to 9,287 cases in the same period, down from 16,294 cases recorded in 2009.

Index crimes include property theft (theft, snatch theft, vehicle theft, machinery theft, house break-in) and violent crimes (robbery assault, rape and murder) while street crimes are classified as snatch theft, robbery without firearms and gang robbery without firearms.

PEMANDU had earlier released figures to show that index crime had dropped by 11.1 per cent from 2010 to last year, while street crime dipped 39.7 per cent in the same period.

Teh said the reduction was further supported by external validations from foreign pollsters, including the latest Taylor Nelson Sofres (TNS) survey, which showed that public fear of crime in Malaysia dropped 3.9 per cent, from 58.5 per cent in December 2009 to 54.6 per cent in May this year.

The Global Peace Index has also rated Malaysia the safest and most peaceful country in Southeast Asia, the fourth in Asia Pacific and the 20th in the world.

But despite the figures, Teh added that there was a “disconnect” between the public’s perception of crime and the actual figures.

“Changes in perception do not immediately follow changes on the ground. And even when people fear crime less and perception changes, the change is slower than the actual reduction of cases,” he said.

When pointed to the recent spate of reports on violent crime cases, Teh said he “thinks” it may be true that there has been an increase in such categories of crime of late before adding that the police were looking into the matter.

He said PEMANDU is also considering the release of detainees previously held under the Emergency Ordinance as one of the possible reasons for the recent spike.

“Let me be honest — this fear has even gotten to me. Previously, when I watch a movie in Cineleisure, I would just watch the midnight movie then go home. But in the last few months, I am more alert,” he said.

The nkkhoo.com comment board with Facebook account.
ariel says:

Only a paltry 8% was set aside for the police to investigate crime despite Putrajaya raising the annual security budget to RM6.3 billion this year. No wonder crime rate is on the rise!
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/only-8pc-of-rm6.3b-for-cops-to-probe-crime-budget-shows/

Frenz says:

Hisham had admitted that he has not been putting crime fighting as a priority of PDRM.
PDRM is used to harass opposition all this while?

nkkhoo says:

Hisham published fake statistics with over 100% effectiveness.

Murugan says:

My friend has just email this:

The statistics below says that there were 167,173 crimes committed in the most recent year, and car theft alone accounts for 55,879 cases. There are on average 150 car theft cases a day and this is hardly ever reported. There must have been about the same number of snatch theft, and only those that caused death get reported. The police should not talk only about the reduction in crime rate, it should not tolerate any incidence of crimes at all.

Acquitted 4,265 [21st of 30]
Bribe payers index 3.9 [15th of 19]
Car thefts 55,879 [13th of 46]
Drug offences 48.6 per 100,000 people [19th of 46]
Embezzlements 4,212 [14th of 36]
Frauds 2,000 [37th of 48]
Jails 26,294 [1st of 80]
Judges and Magistrates 357 [31st of 35]
Prisoners 39,258 prisoners [33rd of 168]
Prisoners > Female 9% [8th of 134]
Prisoners > Foreign prisoners 39.6% [11th of 86]
Prisoners > Per capita 161 per 100,000 people [54th of 164]
Prisoners > Share of prison capacity filled 122.5% [57th of 128]
Software piracy rate 59% [59th of 107]
Total crimes 167,173 [32nd of 50]

DEFINITION: Note: Crime statistics are often better indicators of prevalence of law enforcement and willingness to report crime, than actual prevalence.

SOURCE: Fifth Annual BSA and IDC Global Software Piracy Study///–http://www.nationmaster.com/country/my-malaysia/cri-crime

Murugan says:

That’s the problem of playing with crime index KPI, until PDRM themselves lost touch of the reality!

Even Musa Hassan has come out to to condemn the present PDRM regime for their manipulation of statistics!

Meanwhile, I hope nkkhoo will not blame the Indians for the high crime. The illegals PATI are to be blamed!

nkkhoo says:

According to police statistics, about 50% of crime arrested are Malaysian Indians.

I was robbed by Indian gang in a mamak shop. Should I blamed Indian criminal?

greg says:

While these incompetent & quota Ministers, Pemandu & propaganda machine is on overdrive to glorify themselves in this “shiok sendiri” exercise shockingly declaring that: Malaysia is safer than Singapore, our education standard is the best in the world, 99% of our police force is incorrupt, our Judiciary is most idependent & one of the best in the world, the MACC is independent & incorrupt, our most competent civil service is the largest in the world, and Umno’s achievements goes on and on…..!! but the fact is Teoh Beng Hock & Sarbarni flew out of the windows of the MACC & mercilessly killed, Altantuya blasted away, countless unexplained deaths in custody, the people, our children & women are suffering, abused, snatched, robbed, terrorized, killed & dying & our Tamans & Housing estates in PJ & KL are now barricaded and our towns under siege! There is no freedom of movement anymore as most housing & Taman’s roads are now barricaded & guarded & people are living in fear!

greg says:

Shame On You, Hishamuddin ! Stupid to deploy more RELA team as the uniforms/weapons likely be abused !!!!
If the police were to remove their UMNO shackles and fight crime instead of just doing UMNO’s biddings like harassment of opposition politicians and civil society,then maybe we wouldn’t have this rising crime rate in the first place!These days it’s hard to tell who’s the law and who isn’t!