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I used to trust my old mum until last week. May be due to her aging brain, my old mum is lying to me and my siblings in many matters. I found out she did not do what she had promised for a small household matter by chance, I decided to handle it my own because I’m no longer trust her words.
I lost faith on her now after a series of broken promises or lies.
In the macro level, how do I trust PR who break almost all promises made in GE12?
If PR thinks that the Orange Book can convince more Malaysians (was 49%) to vote PR, they are damn wrong or naive. No one will ever trust you after you have breaking all sort of promises.
There were 49% Malaysians voted PR because BN is too evil to be compromised anymore. But in the past four years, PR has shown they are as evil as BN.
I believe many Malaysians like me will boycott GE13 because voting either one is also guilty. You either choose a tiger or a crocodile at the end.
I share a same thought with Raja Petra on this matter, ‘Peeved voters may boycott polls’.
The bomb threats in 109 Free Awar Rally will test the bravery of Bersih supporters.
UMNO goons know using police to crack down Bersih 3.0 is not a viable option, they are resorting to terrorism to stop Ambiga and Bersih supporters from calling Bersih 3.0.
I will be in the Bersih 3.0 is for sure.
In Malaysia, the threat of a ‘clean’ election stirs fear
mark mackinnon
Kuala Lumpur— Globe and Mail Update
When you’re running a semi-authoritarian government – the kind that holds elections but doesn’t really intend to let the population choose anyone but them – nothing is scarier than the words “independent election monitors.”
Malaysians are the latest to debate just who should be allowed to scrutinize their electoral process. An organization known as Bersih (Malay for “Clean”) finds itself in the government’s crosshairs as the country prepares for a hotly contested vote later this year, facing accusations that they are foreign agents bent on bringing down the country’s long-ruling United Malays National Organization.
Since holding a mass rally that saw tens of thousands take to the streets of Kuala Lumpur last year to call for fair elections, Bersih has come under constant attack in Malaysia’s state-controlled media. The group’s leaders have been accused of working for foreigners and of having an “anti-Islamic” agenda, a heavy charge in this majority Muslim state.
“You know what calling me anti-Islamic means. It’s basically an instruction for someone to kill me,” Bersih chairwoman Ambiga Sreenevasan told me in an interview. A well-known lawyer and former head of the Malaysian Bar Council, she said she’s also seen online calls – from a pro-government blogger – for her to be raped as punishment for her political activities.
Continue reading >> Bersih 3.0 under bomb threats
I fully agree with this writer’s prediction on Kedah and Penang political landscape.
BN will win back Kedah due to more Chinese and Indian voters lose confidence on PAS-led government.
Penang Chinese votes for DAP will drop to 65-70% from 75% historical high in 308. With 55-60% Indians support BN against 50% in 308 and another 5% Malay votes swing back to BN, PR will lose a few state and parliament seats in Penang.
The possibility of PR losing to BN is there.
Instead of dreaming to march into Putrajaya, PR may end up only winning in Kelantan and Penang.
PR may need Bersih 3.0 and Hindraf support to turn the tide.
You can come back to spit on me after GE13 if my prediction in this posting is wrong.
A trip to Penang
13th general election Opinion 2012-01-12 13:49
By LIM SUE GOAN
Translated by SOONG PHUI JEE
Sin Chew Daily
It was my first time to Penang since the 2008 general election.
I was there for a company dinner and after collecting opinions from my colleagues, let’s analyse the possible results of the 13th general election in two states.
Penang is nowadays cleaner than the time when the BN was in the office. The people can also feel the difference between the DAP and BN administrations. The DAP state government is more daring, such as starting from 11 December last year, the area around Beach Street in George Town has been off limits to motor vehicles every Sunday from 7am to 5pm in conjunction with ‘Car Free Day’.
It is generally predicted that Chinese voters would continue supporting the DAP while Malay voters would tend to vote for Umno. The Pakatan Rakyat could easily keep Penang. However, could the Gerakan and the MCA make a breakthrough? The situation of the Gerakan is better than the MCA’s as Gerakan is fielded in some mixed constituencies and coupled with sympathy votes, it would not lose so miserably. As for the MCA, the outbreak of withdrawal, poor organisation and factional problems would bring more difficulties for the party to revive.
Another possibility is, the BN held 38% of Chinese basic votes before the 2008 general election but the percentage dropped to 25% in the previous general election. There should be a rebound and the Pakatan Rakyat would not gain a big victory this time.
There are 40 state seats in Penang and among them, only 22 are Chinese-majority constituencies. Therefore, the DAP has to maintain high Chinese support rate to reach a record close to the one created in the 2008 general election.
Meanwhile, Kedah is the most vulnerable among the four Pakatan Rakyat states. Therefore, the Pakatan Rakyat coalition will hold its 3rd National Convention at Stadium Sultan Abdul Halim in Alor Setar, hoping that the coalition’s manifesto to be declared on 14 January can help promote the Kedah Pakatan Rakyat and turn the tide.
Kedah is a Malay-majority state. Under the trend of the return of Malay votes to Umno, it will be difficult for PAS to win. The party is aware of the situation and thus, it is trying to fight for Malay votes, even the moves might lead to the lose of Chinese votes.
For example, the Kulim district office has decided to stop issuing liquor licences at the end of June this year to make Kulim a liquor-free district, affecting hundreds of businesses. In addition, the requirement to pay entertainment outlet operation licence fees every six months or yearly instead of monthly has triggered complaints that they would be financially burdened with paying a hefty sum every six months or every year.
The move is intended to fight for the support of rural conservative voters. However, it will affect the confidence of Chinese businessmen and the effect is believed to reach other areas outside Kedah. It is indeed an unwise move, particularly when PAS is committed to restructuring.
It is understood that Kedah Menteri Besar Datuk Seri Azizan Abdul Razak is not daring and people friendly enough, while his relations with the party’s central committee is not good, resulting in the signs of split in Kedah PAS. At the same time, the PKR’s grassroots are not well organised but it still insists to contest for seven parliamentary seats and 11 state seats. It is indeed too ambitious.
Compared to Penang, Kedah seems lethargic. Chinese businessmen are not happy while the people are complaining. Even if the Pakatan Rakyat National Convention is held in Kedah, it would not help much.
The momentum of the two camps is reflected in Penang and Kedah. However, who knows whether there would be chances before the end is reached?
No doubt, Anwar acquittal is boosting the moral of PR camp, but do neutral voters feel the same.
I say Anwar acquittal is a bad news for PR. Why?
1. Najib is having upper hand on policy roadmap unlike empty tank PR. Anwar acquittal will force PR to compete with BN in term of new policy implementation rather on personal attack campaign.
PR lost its credibility in promise or policy delivery after more than 95% promises given in GE12 are broken.
2. Anwar acquittal has relieved the international pressure on Najib and improved his image greatly.
3. Some Chinese neutral voters may change their bad perception on Najib regime and give him a second chance to push for ETP. 5 to 10% shift to BN side will make DAP in deep water in the urban constituencies.
4. In order to please Malay hardcore and UMNO right wing supporters, UMNO public prosecutor will drag the case to Appeal Court till GE13.
In the end, Najib will still keep 70% Malay votes as usual and another 5-10% non-bumi especially Chinese voters may swing back to BN after Anwar acquittal.
Hadi Awang is playing a double face game, he and Hasan can jump ship to UMNO in case PR losing badly in the next GE.
Hasan Ali, why you are waiting for? You will be still a loser even Hadi Awang selecting you as his PAS candidate. May be UMNO can ask their supporters to vote you instead of voting BN candidate.
Hasan may quit Pas if problems continue
By SUGANTHI SUPARMANIAM AND G. SURACH
SHAH ALAM: Pas central committee member Datuk Dr Hasan Ali said he would consider resigning if he continued to face difficulties in the party.
However, Hasan, who is also in the Selangor executive council, said quitting Pas would not be that simple.
“I have been a Pas member for a long time now. It will not be easy to leave just like that.
I have many friends to consult, mufti, advisers and political veterans, whom I must talk to first.
“Well, if any organisation no longer supports the principles that I strive for, then it may happen,” Hasan said yesterday.
Hasan, who is also the former Selangor Pas commissioner, added that he would continue to work closely with Pas and the opposition as long as they “promoted and defended the principles of the Malays, Islam and the monarchy”.
He was reacting to a statement by Selangor Pas information chief Shaari Sungib last week that Hasan would be dropped in the next general election as he had not garnered enough nominations from party branches to secure his candidacy.
On Pas president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang’s statement on Sunday rebuking Shaari over his statement, Hasan said: “It is a clear reminder to Pas leaders in the state to not make statements that precede the central leadership.
“I do not blame anyone within the party for disclosing the matter to the media as they may have good intentions.
“However, issues like branch nominations, which are yet to be referred to the Pas national leadership must be kept under wraps,” said Hasan, the Gombak Setia assemblyman.
Hasan said he was puzzled over the timing of Shaari’s revelation at a time when he was conferred a datukship by the Selangor sultan on Sunday.
“When I was about to receive the award from the sultan, suddenly the newspapers were abuzz that I did not gather enough nominations.
“I was not even told about this.
“I feel that there was some hindrance at the state level for my future in politics.
“This is my speculation and I hope this does not happen again.
“I do not need recognition from anyone, including the Pas president. I do not need DAP or PKR to like me.
“I just want Allah’s blessings for the little things I do.”
Hasan had been involved in controversies with DAP and PKR leaders over his stand on Islamic issues.
Asked whether the speculation that he would be dropped as a candidate was true, Hasan said he would let various factors such as time and circumstances to determine his next course of action if Pas did not select him as a candidate.
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